003 WTPZ25 KNHC 302032 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 30 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO CABO SAN QUINTIN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES TO SAN FELIPE INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ROSA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 118.1W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 240SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 118.1W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 118.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N 117.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.1N 116.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.9N 115.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 70SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.3N 113.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.0N 112.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 118.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH