000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160853
TCMEP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 126.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 126.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 125.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.7N 126.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.1N 126.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.6N 126.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.7N 126.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 18.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 126.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY