000
WTPZ25 KNHC 131432
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 120.6W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 120.6W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 120.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.0N 121.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.3N 123.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 15.5N 123.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.5N 124.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.3N 125.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 15.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 120.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA