000
WTPZ25 KNHC 120230
TCMEP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 113.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 113.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 113.0W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.9N 115.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.4N 117.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.2N 119.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.3N 120.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 16.5N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 113.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY