000
WTPZ25 KNHC 231455
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102017
1500 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N 116.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 118.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 119.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.8N 121.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 14.2N 123.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 14.0N 125.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 115.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG