000
WTPZ25 KNHC 171435
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
1500 UTC FRI JUL 17 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 115.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 115.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.9N 116.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.9N 117.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.7N 119.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.8N 120.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 30.7N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 31.0N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 115.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG