000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160233
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
0300 UTC THU JUL 16 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 110.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 270SW 290NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 110.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.6N 111.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.1N 113.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 114.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.9N 116.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 26.2N 122.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 29.0N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 110.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI