000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152032
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
2100 UTC WED JUL 15 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 110.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 110.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 110.3W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.2N 111.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.7N 112.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.1N 114.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.9N 119.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 28.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 110.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG