000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150836
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
0900 UTC WED JUL 15 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.9W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.9W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 109.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.7N 110.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 111.6W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.6N 117.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 27.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 109.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS