000
WTPZ25 KNHC 142046
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 108.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.4N 109.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.0N 110.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.6N 111.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.3N 112.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 23.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 108.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN