000
WTPZ25 KNHC 141452
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
1500 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 108.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 107.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 108.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.5N 109.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.7N 111.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 22.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 25.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 108.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN