000
WTPZ25 KNHC 112021
TCMEP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
2100 UTC SAT JUL 11 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM SINCE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  99.5W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  99.5W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  99.0W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.5N 101.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.7N 103.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.8N 105.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.7N 106.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.7N 108.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 19.7N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 111.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  99.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI