000
WTPZ25 KNHC 072033
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152012
2100 UTC SUN OCT 07 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 120.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 120.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 120.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.2N 120.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.9N 120.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.2N 121.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.2N 121.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N 123.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 16.3N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 120.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI