000
WTPZ25 KNHC 062035
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152012
2100 UTC SAT OCT 06 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 119.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 119.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.4N 120.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.2N 121.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.8N 122.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.1N 122.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.1N 123.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 15.8N 125.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 15.5N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 119.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI