000
WTPZ25 KNHC 061450
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152012
1500 UTC SAT OCT 06 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 118.7W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 118.7W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 118.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.0N 120.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 16.5N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 118.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA