000
WTPZ25 KNHC 100849
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
0900 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 113.0W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 113.0W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.1N 118.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.3N 123.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 17.1N 128.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.7N 134.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 113.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART