000
WTPZ25 KNHC 092032
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
2100 UTC MON JUL 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 111.1W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 111.1W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 110.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.5N 112.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.0N 114.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.0N 118.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 121.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 111.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH