000
WTPZ25 KNHC 091453
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
1500 UTC MON JUL 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 109.9W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  80SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 109.9W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 109.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 13.0N 111.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.1N 115.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.6N 117.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.4N 120.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 16.3N 124.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 109.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH