000
WTPZ25 KNHC 090237
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
0300 UTC MON JUL 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 108.4W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 108.4W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 12.1N 110.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 12.7N 112.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.6N 115.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.2N 119.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 15.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 16.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN