000
WTPZ25 KNHC 082032
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
2100 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 107.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  15SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 107.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 12.1N 109.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 12.7N 111.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.9N 115.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.3N 118.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 14.8N 122.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 107.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE