000
WTPZ25 KNHC 121439
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
1500 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS SOUTH OF
MANZANILLO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO MEXICO TO EL ROBLITO MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 105.0W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 210SE 270SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 105.0W AT 12/1500Z...INLAND
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 105.0W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.3N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.5N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 105.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN