000
WTPZ25 KNHC 112033
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
2100 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO MEXICO
* NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO EL ROBLITO MEXICO
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 105.4W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 300SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 105.4W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.3N 105.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.4N 104.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.4N 104.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.2N 104.8W...INLAND POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 105.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN