000
WTPZ25 KNHC 071448
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
1500 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 110.2W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 110.2W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.4N 110.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 110.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.6N 109.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.5N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 110.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE