000
WTPZ25 KNHC 070858
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 109.5W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  30SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 109.5W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 14.1N 110.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.9N 110.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 20.5N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 109.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG