000
WTPZ25 KNHC 070255
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 108.3W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  60SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 108.3W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.9N 109.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.8N 110.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.7N 110.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.6N 109.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 21.5N 104.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 108.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN