000
WTPZ25 KNHC 061445
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 106.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 106.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 106.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.1N 108.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 109.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 18.8N 107.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 106.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN