000
WTPZ25 KNHC 060310
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
0300 UTC THU OCT 06 2011
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 105.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 105.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 10.2N 106.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  25SE  20SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 10.6N 107.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.1N 108.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.8N 109.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 65NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 13.6N 110.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 15.6N 108.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 17.4N 106.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 105.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN