000
WTPZ25 KNHC 041436
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
1500 UTC THU AUG 04 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......135NE 165SE 120SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 315SE 170SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 118.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.4N 120.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 135SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 123.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.6N 125.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.2N 127.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 118.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG