000
WTPZ25 KNHC 040848
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
0900 UTC THU AUG 04 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.8W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 300SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.8W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 117.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.3N 119.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.1N 122.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE 100SE  70SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.7N 124.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.3N 126.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.3N 130.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 117.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN