000
WTPZ25 KNHC 032044
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.4W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......135NE 120SE 120SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.4W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 114.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.7N 117.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.4N 119.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.1N 121.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.7N 124.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.0N 128.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 115.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG