000
WTPZ25 KNHC 022033
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
2100 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 110.6W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE 105SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 110.6W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.7N 112.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.2N 116.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.9N 118.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 19.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 20.5N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG