000
WTPZ25 KNHC 011430
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
1500 UTC MON AUG 01 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 103.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 103.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 103.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.9N 105.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.6N 107.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.3N 109.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N 111.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 19.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 103.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN