000
WTPZ25 KNHC 010834
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
0900 UTC MON AUG 01 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 103.2W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 270SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 103.2W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 102.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.2N 104.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.9N 106.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.6N 108.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 17.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 18.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 103.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG