000
WTPZ25 KNHC 010230
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
0300 UTC MON AUG 01 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 102.3W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 102.3W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 101.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 11.7N 103.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.3N 105.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.9N 107.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.5N 109.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 18.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 102.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN