000
WTPZ25 KNHC 310836
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
0900 UTC SUN JUL 31 2011
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 100.2W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 100.2W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  99.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 11.1N 100.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.0N 102.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.8N 104.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 16.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 100.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG