000
WTPZ25 KNHC 252044
TCMEP5
HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052010
2100 UTC FRI JUN 25 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 101.5W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 101.5W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 101.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.7N 102.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.5N 103.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.4N 103.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.5N 104.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 14.3N 102.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 14.6N 102.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 101.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE