000
WTPZ25 KNHC 100831
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0900 UTC FRI OCT 10 2008
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA
ANDRESITO TO AGUA BLANCA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS
AND NORTHWARD AROUND THE PENINSULA TO LORETO. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN MAINLAND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 113.4W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 113.4W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 113.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.6N 111.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 27.5N 109.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.5N 105.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 113.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA