000
WTPZ25 KNHC 100232
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0300 UTC FRI OCT 10 2008
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO
SAN ANDRESITO SOUTHWARD AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM LARETO SOUTHWARD INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN MAINLAND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 113.2W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 113.2W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 113.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.9N 113.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.6N 113.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 23.4N 112.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.4N 110.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.0N 107.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 113.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN