000
WTPZ25 KNHC 091441
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
1500 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 112.7W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 112.7W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.8N 114.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 23.1N 112.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.5N 109.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  60SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG