000
WTPZ25 KNHC 090230
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0300 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 111.8W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 125SE 125SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 111.8W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.8N 112.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.9N 113.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.5N 113.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N 113.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.0N 109.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 35.0N 104.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 111.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE