000
WTPZ25 KNHC 081432
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
1500 UTC WED OCT 08 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 110.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.8N 111.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.7N 112.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.0N 113.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.6N 113.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.5N 111.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N 107.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME