000
WTPZ25 KNHC 080832
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0900 UTC WED OCT 08 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.7N 111.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.5N 112.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 27.5N 110.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.5N 107.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 110.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA