000
WTPZ25 KNHC 072032
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
2100 UTC TUE OCT 07 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.1W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.1W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.5N 109.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.1N 110.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.0N 112.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.0N 113.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.0N 113.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 28.0N 110.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH