000
WTPZ25 KNHC 071434
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
1500 UTC TUE OCT 07 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.1W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.1W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 106.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.7N 108.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.3N 109.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.1N 111.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.0N 112.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.5N 113.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 23.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 26.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 107.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH