000
WTPZ25 KNHC 070846
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0900 UTC TUE OCT 07 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 106.4W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 106.4W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 106.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.6N 110.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.5N 111.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 22.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 26.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 106.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN