000
WTPZ25 KNHC 062048
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
2100 UTC MON OCT 06 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.3W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.3W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 105.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.7N 106.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.1N 107.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.7N 109.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N 110.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME