000
WTPZ25 KNHC 060844
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0900 UTC MON OCT 06 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.9W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.9W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.3N 104.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.6N 105.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.1N 107.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.7N 111.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 20.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 103.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN