000
WTPZ25 KNHC 060231
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0300 UTC MON OCT 06 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.7W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.7W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N 104.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.7N 105.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.1N 107.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.7N 108.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 23.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 103.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART