000
WTPZ25 KNHC 050241
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
0300 UTC SUN OCT 05 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.9W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.9W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.4N 101.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.7N 103.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.0N 104.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 100.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART