000 WTPZ25 KNHC 160234 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102008 0300 UTC SAT AUG 16 2008 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 111.5W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 111.5W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 111.4W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.4N 111.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.7N 112.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.9N 113.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.0N 114.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 111.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA